Longevity Forecast

Risks & contraindications

Comparisons

Where it comes from

Highlighted claims

• The paper concluded there was less than a 50% chance Calment's lifespan would be surpassed before 2045. — The human longevity record may hold for decades
• The paper estimated a median record-breaking time around mid-2045. — The human longevity record may hold for decades
• The forecast used data only through the end of 2010 because later Gerontology Research Group list information had registration delays. — The human longevity record may hold for decades
• The forecast depended on the assumed growth rate in new supercentenarians and continued validity of the 0.5 post-110 death probability. — The human longevity record may hold for decades