Record-Breaking Probability
Cross-source consensus on Record-Breaking Probability from 1 sources and 4 claims.
1 sources · 4 claims
Comparisons
Evidence quality
Highlighted claims
- The probability that at least one of 1,049 supercentenarians would reach 122.45 was 17.1%. — The human longevity record may hold for decades
- The model estimated about a 20.4% chance that someone would reach 122.45 after Calment's death and before 25 September 2017. — The human longevity record may hold for decades
- A 17.1% probability made Calment's age extraordinary but not impossible under the model. — The human longevity record may hold for decades
- Under the model, there was about an 80% probability that Calment's record would still stand by 2017. — The human longevity record may hold for decades